Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.526722 6.224255 6.987106 7.885144 8.915706 10.064035 11.444199
2024-12-22 4.432103 5.331215 6.390246 7.736469 9.411786 11.440356 14.101339
2024-12-29 3.942867 4.987230 6.289596 8.047616 10.380905 13.402391 17.661702
2025-01-05 3.476407 4.574874 6.008123 8.038409 10.877931 14.764199 20.582909
2025-01-12 3.101237 4.218936 5.733959 7.970054 11.241577 15.940038 23.358841
2025-01-19 2.679388 3.744637 5.234162 7.508158 10.961920 16.126392 24.656795
2025-01-26 2.473669 3.549009 5.099016 7.545379 11.401457 17.405310 27.784687
2025-02-02 2.355341 3.465148 5.112207 7.796819 12.184537 19.293367 32.153107
2025-02-09 2.226311 3.350426 5.063440 7.938859 12.797653 20.965537 36.382302
2025-02-16 2.103493 3.232445 4.995437 8.036859 13.339218 22.568881 40.710088
2025-02-23 1.992016 3.121501 4.926242 8.121108 13.858616 24.184209 45.288874
2025-03-02 1.828438 2.912182 4.677346 7.870679 13.750996 24.638029 47.649533
2025-03-09 1.712044 2.774832 4.541930 7.814653 14.007712 25.835283 51.777670
2025-03-16 1.601552 2.638936 4.397828 7.728981 14.199408 26.932202 55.883826
2025-03-23 1.566947 2.630308 4.473447 8.053822 15.218817 29.812033 64.408588
2025-03-30 1.485031 2.531779 4.379957 8.047652 15.575189 31.363571 70.163101
2025-04-06 1.401765 2.424405 4.261260 7.979863 15.794851 32.646466 75.498595
2025-04-13 1.272954 2.225229 3.957661 7.517461 15.132855 31.900650 75.660453
2025-04-20 1.219335 2.161313 3.903794 7.554763 15.550028 33.647410 82.537970
2025-04-27 1.195615 2.151532 3.952199 7.806563 16.467473 36.681013 93.438329
2025-05-04 1.160297 2.116947 3.949166 7.948805 17.152487 39.252715 103.594542
2025-05-11 1.122319 2.074466 3.926942 8.046944 17.745451 41.679281 113.845228
2025-05-18 1.085298 2.031284 3.899845 8.131313 18.314664 44.125784 124.687702